China’s Objectives in Space:
Although China’s space capabilities generally lag behind those of the United States, China’s space program is rapidly maturing, with space capabilities being used to advance the country’s economic, social, civil, political, and military objectives.
Dual-use: China’s civilian and military space programs are linked in several ways. Historically, China’s military, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), has overseen both military and civilian space activities. Today, while China has civilian space agencies and commercial entities, national strategies such as Military-Civil Fusion facilitate the leveraging of civilian space research and development and other resources for military applications.
Financial and Political Resourcing: Due to prioritization by China’s top leaders, a political system that enables the development and execution of long-term plans, the Military-Civil Fusion strategy, and leveraging of foreign technologies and expertise through commercial cooperative agreements, China has been able to invest significant resources into its space programs and make swift progress in achieving its goals related to space.
China’s defense spending is intentionally opaque. This is further complicated by the dual-use nature of the sector, and by the fact that China’s civilian and military space programs are blended.
- An April 2019 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission staff report referenced earlier estimates on China’s space spending, since there is a lack of transparent and updated data: “The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimated China’s combined military and civil space budget in 2005 was $1.5 billion in purchasing power parity, the fourth-largest of any single country, compared to the U.S. space budget that year of $36.6 billion, the largest. China’s budget increased to $6.1 billion and $10.8 billion in 2009 and 2013, respectively, the world’s second largest in those years, after the U.S. budgets of $43.6 billion and $39.3 billion. Beijing does not release accurate cost data on military goods and services, so purchasing power parity conversions are not entirely reliable, however.”
China’s Strategic Threat to U.S. Space Security:
Space has emerged as a central arena of great power competition. China’s intent in space is to reduce U.S. and allied military effectiveness in the event of a future military confrontation.
- China’s armed forces, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), view cyberspace, space and electronic warfare as inherently intertwined. Management of these three strategic areas fall under the PLA’s Strategic Support Force.
- Military capabilities reported to be in development include satellite jammers, directed-energy weapons, and kinetic energy weapons, such as anti-satellite missile systems.
- According to a 2019 DIA assessment, “China is employing more sophisticated satellite operations and probably is testing on-orbit dual-use technologies that could be applied to counterspace missions.“ A Project 2049 Institute report notes, “Testing of kinetic kill vehicles, high-powered lasers, co-orbital satellites, electronic jamming, and—possibly—cyberattacks have been reported.”
China’s International Space Programs:
“Outer space is a critical domain in international strategic competition. Outer space security provides strategic assurance for national and social development.” – China’s National Defense in the New Era, July 2019
Chinese commercial space companies sell space-related technology and services to a number of countries. Between 2007 and 2018, China launched 20 satellites for 13 countries (Algeria, Argentina, Belarus, Bolivia, France, Indonesia, Laos, Nigeria, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Venezuela). (Source)
In 2018, China claimed it had signed 121 cooperative agreements on space with 37 countries and international organizations.
In 2019, the China Manned Space Agency and the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs announced plans to conduct at least six scientific projects in cooperation with 17 countries aboard the planned China Space Station.
China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):
China established the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization in 2008 to enable facilitated cooperation in areas such as data sharing, ground system interconnectivity, disaster monitoring, ground-based space object observation, and education and training.
China has overseas space tracking stations in six countries: Australia, Chile, Kenya, Namibia, Pakistan, and Sweden.
China also operates a large satellite and space mission control center in Argentina that supports its civilian space endeavors. The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission argues the mission control center “could be used to collect intelligence on satellites, missile launches, and drone movements, and to interfere with or compromise communications, electronic networks, and electromagnetic systems in the Western Hemisphere.”
China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):
China participates in international space governance bodies such as the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space and the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs. China and Russia have championed iterations of a widely-supported UN resolution on the Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS), which lacks verification capabilities and omits restrictions on anti-satellite weapons, the absence of which leaves countries’ behavior in space unchecked.
Russia and China offered a draft “Treaty on the Prevention of Placement of Weapons in Outer Space,” an instrument that does not include terrestrially-based anti-satellite weaponry which both Russia and China have long since developed and deployed.
The United States government has identified growing Chinese influence in UN agencies in particular as a problem, and in January 2020 created a new position, “Special Envoy for Multilateral Integrity,” reportedly for the purpose of curtailing China’s influence in the UN.
China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):
U.S. law places limitations on civil space cooperation with China, including through a near-complete embargo on the export of commercial, dual-use, and military technologies with applications in space, and other end-user restrictions. Nevertheless, Chinese companies reportedly have exploited loopholes in existing laws and export control regulations to access U.S. space technology via complex subsidiary investments in U.S. companies.
U.S. allies with less restrictive export controls are more willing to trade goods and services from Chinese commercial space companies, strengthening China’s indigenous capabilities.
The U.S. Space Force Acquisition Council, created under the FY 2020 National Defense Authorization Act, handles procurement operations for disparate DoD space entities. In April 2020, the Council convened an emergency session to prevent fragile supply chains, at-risk workforces and receding commercial markets from being acquired by Chinese commercial space companies.
China’s Belt and Road Space Information Corridor:
The Chinese government has highlighted space cooperation as a component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and refers to these projects as the “Space Silk Road” or “BRI Space Information Corridor.”
China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology sells the Information Silk Road, to include the Beidou (BDS) Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and 5G networks, to global audiences as a completely self-sufficient technology infrastructure that anticipates life in the 21st century. Beidou translates to “Big Dipper.”
China’s Space Silk Road connects Eurasia and Africa with BDS, providing China and its BRI partners with global positioning, navigation and tracking for both civil and military purposes.
By embedding BDS and serving as the GNSS provider globally, the CCP can influence third countries and control shares in the satellite navigation industry and service markets upon which third countries rely.
China’s Belt and Road Space Information Corridor (Cont’d):
BDS Generation 1 was started in 1994 and became operational in 2000, offering commercial use in China and neighboring regions
BDS Generation 2/COMPASS was started in 2004 and became operational in 2011, offering commercial use across the Asia-Pacific region
BDS Generation 3 was started in 2009, became operational in 2020
- The impetus for the Beidou GNSS program was as a result of the PLA planners realizing their dependence on the U.S. Global Positioning System network. China is now promoting BDS as a “civilian-led program intended primarily for commercial and scientific purposes” despite it still being a PLA-controlled program.
Timeline of Major Milestones in China’s Space Influence Campaign:
Timeline of Plans in China’s Space Influence Campaign:
- U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, China’s Ambitions in Space: Contesting the Final Frontier (chapter in 2019 Annual Report to Congress), November 2019.
- Reuters, China’s Long March to Space, December 2019.
- National Bureau of Asian Research, The Space and Cyberspace Components of the Belt and Road Initiative (chapter in Securing the Belt and Road Initiative: China’s Evolving Military Engagement Along the Silk Roads), September 2019.
- University of California Institute for Global Conflict and Cooperation, China Dream, Space Dream: China’s Progress in Space Technologies and Implications for the United States, March 2015.
- U.S. Department of Defense, Defense Space Strategy, June 2020.
- “The Beidou Satellite Network and the ‘Space Silk Road’ in Eurasia,” Jamestown Foundation China Brief, July 2020, https://jamestown.org/program/the-beidou-satellite-network-and-the-space-silk-road-in-eurasia/?mc_cid=3629b3ce05&mc_eid=5debcfd568
*Last Updated: 9/9/2020