China’s Objectives in Space: 

Although China’s space capabilities generally lag behind those of the United States, China’s space program is rapidly maturing, with space capabilities being used to advance the country’s economic, social, civil, political, and military objectives.

Dual-use: China’s civilian and military space programs are linked in several ways. Historically, China’s military, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), has overseen both military and civilian space activities. Today, while China has civilian space agencies and commercial entities, national strategies such as Military-Civil Fusion facilitate the leveraging of civilian space research and development and other resources for military applications.

Financial and Political Resourcing: Due to prioritization by China’s top leaders, a political system that enables the development and execution of long-term plans, the Military-Civil Fusion strategy, and leveraging of foreign technologies and expertise through commercial cooperative agreements, China has been able to invest significant resources into its space programs and make swift progress in achieving its goals related to space.

China’s defense spending is intentionally opaque. This is further complicated by the dual-use nature of the sector, and by the fact that China’s civilian and military space programs are blended.

  • An April 2019 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission staff report referenced earlier estimates on China’s space spending, since there is a lack of transparent and updated data: “The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimated China’s combined military and civil space budget in 2005 was $1.5 billion in purchasing power parity, the fourth-largest of any single country, compared to the U.S. space budget that year of $36.6 billion, the largest. China’s budget increased to $6.1 billion and $10.8 billion in 2009 and 2013, respectively, the world’s second largest in those years, after the U.S. budgets of $43.6 billion and $39.3 billion. Beijing does not release accurate cost data on military goods and services, so purchasing power parity conversions are not entirely reliable, however.”

 

China’s Strategic Threat to U.S. Space Security: 

Space has emerged as a central arena of great power competition. China’s intent in space is to reduce U.S. and allied military effectiveness in the event of a future military confrontation.

  • The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) views cyberspace, space and electronic warfare as inherently intertwined. Management of these three strategic areas fall under the PLA’s Strategic Support Force. 
  • The PLA’s military capabilities include satellite jammers, directed-energy weapons, and kinetic energy weapons, such as anti-satellite missile systems. Its land- and sea-based space tracking assets in Africa and Latin America can support targeting for counterspace systems.
  • According to a 2019 DIA assessment, “China is employing more sophisticated satellite operations and probably is testing on-orbit dual-use technologies that could be applied to counterspace missions.“ A Project 2049 Institute report notes, “Testing of kinetic kill vehicles, high-powered lasers, co-orbital satellites, electronic jamming, and—possibly—cyberattacks have been reported.”

 

China’s International Space Programs: 

“Outer space is a critical domain in international strategic competition. Outer space security provides strategic assurance for national and social development.” – China’s National Defense in the New Era, July 2019

Chinese commercial space companies sell space-related technology and services to a number of countries. Between 2007 and 2018, China launched 20 satellites for 13 countries (Algeria, Argentina, Belarus, Bolivia, France, Indonesia, Laos, Nigeria, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Venezuela). (Source)

In 2018, China claimed it had signed 121 cooperative agreements on space with 37 countries and international organizations.

In 2019, the China Manned Space Agency and the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs announced plans to conduct at least six scientific projects in cooperation with 17 countries aboard the planned China Space Station.

 

China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):

China established the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization in 2008 to enable facilitated cooperation in areas such as data sharing, ground system interconnectivity, disaster monitoring, ground-based space object observation, and education and training.

China has overseas space tracking stations in six countries: Australia, Chile, Kenya, Namibia, Pakistan, and Sweden.

China also operates a large satellite and space mission control center in Argentina that supports its civilian space endeavors, including satellite tracking of U.S. military satellite positioning and activity.

Space agencies for Russia and China agreed to build a joint research base on the moon with an agreement pending. This Lunar Base will serve dual-use functions, monitoring deep space and enhancing remote sensing of Earth.

 

China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):

China participates in international space governance bodies such as the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space and the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs. China and Russia have championed iterations of a widely-supported UN resolution on the Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS), which lacks verification capabilities and omits restrictions on anti-satellite weapons, the absence of which leaves countries’ behavior in space unchecked.

Russia and China offered a draft “Treaty on the Prevention of Placement of Weapons in Outer Space,” an instrument that does not include terrestrially-based anti-satellite weaponry which both Russia and China have long since developed and deployed

The Partial Test Ban Treaty, with 104 signatory nations including the U.S. and Russia, prohibits testing and use of nuclear weapons in space. China, France and North Korea are among the remaining countries that have not signed. Of note, the Treaty does no the testing and use of non-nuclear space weapons.

 

China’s International Space Programs (Cont’d):

U.S. law places limitations on civil space cooperation with China, including through a near-complete embargo on the export of commercial, dual-use, and military technologies with applications in space, and other end-user restrictions. Nevertheless, Chinese companies reportedly have exploited loopholes in existing laws and export control regulations to access U.S. space technology via complex subsidiary investments in U.S. companies.

U.S. allies with less restrictive export controls are more willing to trade goods and services from Chinese commercial space companies, strengthening China’s indigenous capabilities.  

The U.S. Space Force Acquisition Council, created under the FY 2020 National Defense Authorization Act, handles procurement operations for disparate DoD space entities. In April 2020, the Council convened an emergency session to prevent fragile supply chains, at-risk workforces and receding commercial markets from being acquired by Chinese commercial space companies.

 

China’s Belt and Road Space Information Corridor: 

The Chinese government has highlighted space cooperation as a component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and refers to these projects as the “Space Silk Road” or BRI Space Information Corridor.

China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology sells the Information Silk Road, to include the Beidou (BDS) Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and 5G networks, to global audiences as a completely self-sufficient technology infrastructure that anticipates life in the 21st century. Beidou translates to “Big Dipper.”

China’s Space Silk Road connects Eurasia and Africa with BDS, providing China and its BRI partners with global positioning, navigation and tracking for both civil and military purposes.

By embedding BDS and serving as the GNSS provider globally, the CCP can influence third countries and control shares in the satellite navigation industry and service markets upon which third countries rely. 

 

China’s Belt and Road Space Information Corridor (Cont’d): 

BDS should provide “all-time, all-weather and high-accuracy positioning, navigation and timing services to global users.” – PRC White Paper: China’s Beidou Navigation Satellite System, June 2016

BDS Generation 1 was started in 1994 and became operational in 2000, offering commercial use in China and neighboring regions

BDS Generation 2/COMPASS was started in 2004 and became operational in 2011, offering commercial use across the Asia-Pacific region

BDS Generation 3 was started in 2009, became operational in 2020

 

Timeline of Major Milestones in China’s Space Influence Campaign:

 

Timeline of Plans in China’s Space Influence Campaign:

 

Additional sources:

 

*Last Updated: 3/16/2021

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